RHB Indonesia - Sentul City - Visit notes (Sentul City, Nippon Indosari, Cement) Unknown Selasa, 15 Agustus 2017




Good morning,

Sentul City – Visit notes

We paid a visit to Sentul City (BKSL IJ, NR), here are the key highlights:
¨ Sentul City currently has over 1,900 ha of landbank with 335.6ha available for near-term future development.
¨ This year the company will deliver several landed house projects, high rise apartments, and commercial projects where majority of the products will have price in the range of IDR280mn – 3bn per unit.

¨ Management targets FY17 marketing sales of IDR1.2trn, 7M17 achieved IDR620bn. Management also mentioned that recently Sampoerna group has bought 10ha of land in the area for IDR240bn that will go into 3Q17 marketing sales.
¨ There will be LRT station crossing over Sentul City. Thus, the company is building TOD nearby the station called Centerra superblock with total saleable area of ~29ha that will consist of:
o Currently operating Pertamedika hospital and Giant Supermarket
o AEON Mall – Operational in Mid 2018 (GFA of 103,414sqm)
o Saffron Residence apartment – 2019
o Office tower
o 5 star hotel
¨ AEON mall is under long-term rental agreement with the company with rental fee of
o USD12/sqm – First 5 years
o USD15/sqm – next 5 years
o USD30/sqm – next 5 years
¨ BKSL’s balance sheet is quite healthy with net gearing of 9%. In addition, the company targets topline growth of 14.9% CAGR (FY13-21F) while EBITDA margin is forecasted to contract to 33% in 2021F.
¨ Using management’s assumption, the stock is currently trading at 6.8x FY17F P/E. However, the company did not gave out dividends in the past except 2013 & 2014. (Yualdo Tirtakencana)


Link to daily report: Indonesia Morning Cuppa 150817


Company Update:

Nippon Indosari indicates rights issue price
Nippon Indosari indicates rights issuance's exercise price in range of IDR1,200 - 1,300 per share. The company plans to issue maximum 1.15bn new shares with maximum dilution of 18.52%. The company may announce final rights issue exercise price in mid September. We maintain Neutral on ROTI with IDR1,180 TP (2% downside) which implies FY18F P/E of 21x. (Andrey Wijaya)

Sector Update:

Cement – Robust July cement sales, partly driven by seasonality
Domestic July cement sales jumped to 5.6m tonnes (+51% MoM, +56% YoY) which we see this were likely driven by seasonality since cement distributors stock-up its inventories after the Lebaran holiday. We believe cement distributors lowered its inventory during two-weeks Lebaran holiday to minimise inventory risks. Semen Indonesia (SMGR IJ, Neutral, IDR9,800 (implies 14x FY18F P/Es), 8% downside) domestic market shares slipped to 39.9% in July (from 41.3% in June), while Indocement (INTP IJ, Sell, TP: IDR12,800 (implies 14x FY18F P/Es), 44% downside) market shares increased to 25.9% in July (versus 25.1% in June). Semen Indonesia maintained is ASP at IDR733,000/tonne (+0.1% MoM) in July.

YT-July, domestic cement sales reached 34.6m tonnes (+5% YoY), driven by bulk cement which increased by 11% YoY (versus bag cement rose 3% YoY). We are Neutral on Indonesia cement sector since we see this year’s domestic overcapacity situation is likely to remain sustain. However, cement sales which are cyclically high in 2H, should ease competition in the domestic cement market. (Andrey Wijaya)

Media Highlights:

Corporate

Ministry of Transportation allocates IDR129bn subsidy for Palembang LRT
Gajah Tunggal sets bond rate at 8.37%
Sariguna plans to add three new plants
Puradelta books 37ha land sales
Lotte Chemical Titan signs new agreement with the holding company

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Results Review: Bank Rakyat Indonesia – More Room For Improvement
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Company Update: Wijaya Karya Persero – Stronger Year Ahead
Company Update: Harum Energy – Strong Earnings To Continue


Best regards,

Helmy Kristanto
Director
Head of Indonesia Research
PT RHB Sekuritas Indonesia


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