Indonesia Morning Cuppa
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Top Story
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Company Update
Mitra Adiperkasa
FY17 results in line, expects
growth to continue
Mitra
Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ, Under Review) booked FY17 net income in FY17 that
reached 96% of consensus estimates, while revenue came in at 103% of
consensus. Gross margin was lower in FY17, while EBIT and net margin grew on
lower operating expenses and effective tax rate. In quarterly terms, MAP
booked weaker YoY net income in 4Q17 (-2% YoY | +17% QoQ) while revenues grew
(+20% YoY | +16% QoQ). The stock is trading at 24x FY18F P/E, our rating is
under review.
Analyst: Michael
Halim (6221) 2783 0719
Morning
Cuppa Full Report: Indonesia Morning Cuppa 060418
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Bank
Central Asia announces IDR6.29trn dividends
Subsidiary
of contractors announce dividends
Japfa
Comfeed allocates IDR2.5trn in capital expenditure for FY18
Moody’s
downgrades Matahari Putra Prima to B3
Bank
Indonesia to change minimum reserve requirement policy
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TP
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Upside
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Catalysts
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(IDR)
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(%)
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Astra International
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9,500
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13
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Given
the robust of the All New Toyota Rush and Daihatsu Terios
sales orders, Astra has raised its monthly sales target. Its lowering of
Daihatsu Terios’ selling price while positioning Toyota Rush at a higher
class are seen as a good strategy to reclaim
market share. We also see the company’s coal mining unit benefiting from
higher coal prices. We raise its earnings estimates, and SOP-based TP to
IDR9,500 (from IDR9,200, 13% upside), implying 16-15x FY18F-19F P/Es. Key
risk is the intense competition in the auto industry. SAIC-GM Wuling just
launched its 1.8-litre MPV – Wuling Cortez – with an attractive selling
price. Maintain BUY.
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BSD City
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2,650
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44
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Expectations of
higher marketing sales due to lower interest rates, which ought to
incentivise mortgage users. BSD City has the largest proportion of mortgage
users vis-à-vis other developers. There is also better monetisation from its
large landbank.
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Bukit Asam
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4,100
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20
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Bukit Asam is the
cheapest coal counter in our coal universe. We think earnings growth should
be the catalyst for its share price. We believe investors’ concerns about a
potential cost-plus margins formula in determining coal selling prices to
domestic power plants should fade. This is based on our checks with several
competent sources. The formula is only valid for coal sales to new mine mouth
power plants. It is not for existing/under construction mine mouth power
facilities.
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Indofood Sukses Makmur
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9,500
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28
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We expect higher
domestic consumer spending in 2018. This would be thanks to the Government
stimulus initiatives for low-end consumers. Indofood Sukses Makmur, as one of
the largest food & beverage (F&B) players, should benefit from this
situation. F&B accounted for around 64% of its total FY17 EBIT. The
company is attractively trading at low earning multiple.
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Ramayana Lestari
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1,550
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34
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Consumer spending
recovery – especially from the lower income segment in 2018 – is likely to
benefit Ramayana Lestari after a flat performance in 2017. This is due to
increased subsidies by the Government that have been allocated in the 2018
budget via the Ministry of Social Affairs. In addition, President Joko
Widodo’s (Jokowi) work-for-cash programme is likely to help raise consumer
spending.
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Recent Stories
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To access the following reports, please click on the link:
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Company
Update: Harum Energy: Firing On All Cylinders
Link to report: Harum Energy: Firing
On All Cylinders
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Economics
Update: Inflation Picks Up In March
Link to report: Inflation Picks Up
In March
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Economics
Update: February M2 Edges Down, Loans Growth Picks Up
Link to report: February M2 Edges
Down, Loans Growth Picks Up
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Economic
Outlook: Stronger Growth Amid External Headwinds
Link to report: Stronger Growth Amid
External Headwinds
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Corporate
News Flash: Adaro Energy: Acquiring Kestrel Coking Coal Mine
Link to report: Adaro Energy:
Acquiring Kestrel Coking Coal Mine
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Company
Update: Alam Sutera: Outlook Remains Positive
Link to report: Alam Sutera: Outlook
Remains Positive
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Results
Review: Delta Dunia Makmur: Growing Earnings
Link to report: Delta Dunia Makmur:
Growing Earnings
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Regional
Strategy: Impact On Equities From Tariffs: US And China Trade Tariffs
Link to report: Impact On Equities
From Tariffs: US And China Trade Tariffs
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Economics
Update: BI Continues To Pause In March
Link to report: BI Continues To
Pause In March
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Company
Update: Indofood CBP: Better Noodle Earnings But Higher Beverage Losses
Link to report: Indofood CBP: Better
Noodle Earnings But Higher Beverage Losses
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