RHB Indonesia- Economic Highlights: Exports Continues to Recover while Imports Fall Deeper in September Unknown Selasa, 18 Oktober 2016




Economic Highlights:
Exports Continues to Recover while Imports Fall Deeper in September
¨    Indonesia’s exports contracted by a smaller magnitude of 0.6% y-o-y in September, from -0.7 in August.This was drivenby a smaller decline in oil product exports,on account of a recovery in oil prices.
¨    Imports, meanwhile,contracted by a larger magnitude of 2.3% y-o-y in September, from -0.1% in August due to declines in crude oil and non-oil & gas imports

¨    In September, the trade account continued to record a surplus of USD1.2bn, the highest level this year. This leads to a higher trade surplus in 3Q2016, suggesting that the country’s current account deficit in the balance of payments could have improved during the quarter.
¨    Moving forward, the global economy is still faced with many downside risks. This suggests that Indonesia’s exports will likely remain challenging and we expect the country’s exports to remain in contraction of 2.8% in 2017, albeit by a smaller magnitude compared with an estimate of -7.0% for 2016and-14.6% in 2015.

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Best regards,
Rizki Fajar
Vice President
Economist
PT. RHB Securities Indonesia